Auxerre vs Angers Predictions & Odds
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Auxerre have won three straight; Angers are winless in their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Ligue 1 tie.
One thing to keep in mind about Auxerre. They're scoring 2.2 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 0.9. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.6), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Auxerre create chances worth 0.9 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Angers create 1.0 (giving up 1.8) for a balance of -0.8. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Auxerre are scoring 2.2 goals a game off chances worth just 0.9. That's +0.6 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off.
Auxerre average 2.2 goals per game and Angers manage 0.8. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 35% of Auxerre's home games and 41% of Angers's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Auxerre are all-out attack: 2.2 goals a game, but they leak 1.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Angers, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Auxerre Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Angers Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Auxerre vs Angers kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.