Paris FC vs Nice Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Paris FC (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Paris FC have won three of their last five; Nice are winless in their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Ligue 1 tie.
Nice are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.1 against 0.6 actual goals). They look due a few more. The gap in chance quality is clear: Paris FC come out at +0.2 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.8. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Paris FC create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. Nice create 1.1 (giving up 1.9) for a balance of -0.8. The underlying numbers clearly favour Paris FC. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Nice are creating chances worth 1.1 a game but only finishing 0.6. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Paris FC average 2.0 goals per game and Nice manage 0.6. Combined that's just 2.6. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 53% of Paris FC's home games and 65% of Nice's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Paris FC are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Nice, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Nice prefer to keep things tight (0.8 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Paris FC against this setup.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%) and 1-1 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Paris FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Nice Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Paris FC vs Nice kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.