Southampton crestDerby crest

Southampton vs Derby Prediction

Saturday 21 November 2026, 12:30 Championship

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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A Championship meeting between Southampton (7th, 24 pts) and Derby (23rd, 10 pts).

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

5 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

Recent form

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Southampton crestSouthampton DWWDWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost. 10 scored, 4 conceded.

Tue 3 Nov West Bromwich Albion crestat West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Drew
Sat 31 Oct Queens Park Rangers crestv Queens Park Rangers 4-1 Won
Sat 24 Oct West Ham United crestat West Ham United 3-2 Won
Sat 17 Oct Bolton Wanderers crestv Bolton Wanderers 0-0 Drew
Wed 14 Oct Norwich City crestat Norwich City 1-0 Won
Sun 11 Oct Portsmouth crestv Portsmouth 1-0 Won
Derby crestDerby WLLDLL

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 6 scored, 15 conceded.

Fri 6 Nov Bolton Wanderers crestv Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Won
Tue 3 Nov Norwich crestv Norwich 0-4 Lost
Sat 31 Oct Millwall crestat Millwall 1-4 Lost
Sat 24 Oct Sheffield United crestat Sheffield United 1-1 Drew
Sat 17 Oct Stoke City crestv Stoke City 0-1 Lost
Wed 14 Oct Queens Park Rangers crestat Queens Park Rangers 1-4 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Southampton v Derby: the numbers

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Southampton crestSouthamptonDerby crestDerby 7League position23 8-4-2League record, won-drawn-lost2-4-9 29-14Goals for and against14-30 24Points10 6-1-0Home record v away record1-2-4 2.07Scored a game0.93 1.00Conceded a game2.00 1.58xG for a game0.99 24%Clean sheets26% 11%Failed to score9% 72%Both teams scored65%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Southampton v Derby: head to head

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Southampton won 2 4 draws Derby won 0
3.8 goals a game 5/6 both scored 4/6 over 2.5
11 Apr 2026 Southampton crestDerby crestSouthampton v Derby 2-1
4 Oct 2025 Derby crestSouthampton crestDerby v Southampton 1-1
16 Jan 2019 Southampton crestDerby crestSouthampton v Derby 4-4
5 Jan 2019 Derby crestSouthampton crestDerby v Southampton 2-2
18 Feb 2012 Southampton crestDerby crestSouthampton v Derby 4-0
15 Oct 2011 Derby crestSouthampton crestDerby v Southampton 1-1

Likely scorelines

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2-110% 3-07% 3-17% 2-25% 1-25% 4-04%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Southampton vs Derby: FAQs

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Southampton vs Derby prediction: what is the call?

The model has not made a call on this game yet. Calls are published before kick-off and graded in public.

What time does Southampton vs Derby kick off?

Southampton vs Derby kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 12:30 UK time (Championship).

What form are Southampton and Derby in?

Southampton have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 (D W W D W W, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 4. Derby have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W L L D L L, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 15.

What is the head to head between Southampton and Derby?

In their last 6 meetings on our record, Southampton won 2, Derby won 0 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 11 Apr 2026, finished Southampton 2-1 Derby.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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