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Form, fitness, fine margins. Sarpsborg 08 FF and Sandefjord meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
Sarpsborg 08 FF (9th, 41 pts) host Sandefjord (5th, 48 pts) in the Eliteserien. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
D. Karlsbakk has been Sarpsborg 08 FF's spearhead, with 4 goals and 0 assists in 14 appearances, averaging 0.79 shots on target per game. E. Patoulidis has been Sandefjord's main threat, with 3 goals and 0 assists in 14 appearances, averaging 0.71 shots on target per game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF will be looking to make home advantage count (W5 D4 L6 at home). Sandefjord's away record reads W4 D2 L9. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Sandefjord could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.8 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.5. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sarpsborg 08 FF create chances worth 1.7 a game (and give up chances worth 2.4), leaving them -0.8 a game on the balance. Sandefjord create 1.5 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of 0.0. On the quality of chances, Sandefjord look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sandefjord are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.8 goals vs chance quality of 1.5). Both runs could cool off at once. A worry for Sarpsborg 08 FF: the chances they're creating lately are worth 1.2 a game, well below their 1.7 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Sarpsborg 08 FF average 1.6 goals per game and Sandefjord manage 1.8. Combined that's just 3.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Sarpsborg 08 FF and Sandefjord together create chances worth 3.2 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Sandefjord have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.4 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sarpsborg 08 FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Sandefjord Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.