Brann vs Ham-Kam Predictions & Odds
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Form, fitness, fine margins. Brann and Ham-Kam meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
A Eliteserien fixture between Brann and Ham-Kam. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
N. Holm has been Brann's spearhead, with 5 goals and 2 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 0.93 shots on target per game. M. Niang has been Ham-Kam's main threat, with 6 goals and 0 assists in 11 appearances, averaging 0.82 shots on target per game.
A concern for Ham-Kam: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Brann create chances worth 1.9 a game (and give up chances worth 0.8), leaving them +1.0 a game on the balance. Ham-Kam create 1.5 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of 0.0. The underlying numbers clearly favour Brann. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Ham-Kam's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Brann average 1.8 goals per game and Ham-Kam manage 0.0. Combined that's just 1.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Brann and Ham-Kam together create chances worth 3.4 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Brann are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Ham-Kam, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Ham-Kam prefer to keep things tight (0.0 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Brann against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Brann Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Ham-Kam Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Brann vs Ham-Kam kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.