Aalesund vs Valerenga Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Aalesund (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Form, fitness, fine margins. Aalesund and Valerenga meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
A Eliteserien fixture between Aalesund and Valerenga. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
K. Lonebu has been Aalesund's spearhead, with 5 goals and 1 assists in 13 appearances, averaging 1.23 shots on target per game. L. Haren has been Valerenga's main threat, with 6 goals and 1 assists in 14 appearances, averaging 0.64 shots on target per game.
Aalesund will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Valerenga's away record reads W4 D1 L10. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Crucially, Aalesund are in strong home form while Valerenga are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Aalesund create chances worth 0.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.8 a game on the balance. Valerenga create 1.3 (giving up 2.0) for a balance of -0.7. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Aalesund average 2.0 goals per game and Valerenga manage 1.6. Combined that's just 3.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Aalesund are in great shape right now, banging in 2.0 a game and only letting in 0.5. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Aalesund Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Valerenga Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Aalesund vs Valerenga kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 13:30 in the Eliteserien.