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Form, fitness, fine margins. Fredrikstad and Kristiansund BK meet in a fixture that could swing either way.
A Eliteserien meeting between Fredrikstad (8th, 42 pts) and Kristiansund BK (13th, 34 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
R. Shein has been Fredrikstad's spearhead, with 2 goals and 1 assists in 11 appearances, averaging 0.36 shots on target per game. L. Alvheim has been Kristiansund BK's main threat, with 5 goals and 0 assists in 13 appearances, averaging 0.85 shots on target per game.
Fredrikstad will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D4 L4 at home). Kristiansund BK's away record reads W4 D3 L7. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Kristiansund BK could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.2 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.1. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Fredrikstad create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Kristiansund BK create 1.1 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Kristiansund BK are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.2 goals vs chance quality of 1.1). Both runs could cool off at once.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Fredrikstad average 1.3 goals per game and Kristiansund BK manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Fredrikstad Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Kristiansund BK Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:15 in the Eliteserien.