Santos vs Cruzeiro Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Santos (12th, 47 pts) host Cruzeiro (3rd, 70 pts) in the Brasileirão Série A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Gabriel Barbosa has been Santos's spearhead, with 8 goals and 2 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.56 shots on target per game. Matheus Pereira has been Cruzeiro's main threat, with 6 goals and 2 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.76 shots on target per game.
The travelling Cruzeiro fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. 4 wins on the bounce. That W-W-W-W-L away form is genuinely impressive. Santos have been wobbling (L-L-W-L-L) 2 losses in a row. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Santos will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Interestingly, Santos have been poor at home recently while Cruzeiro travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Santos create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Cruzeiro create 1.2 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Santos average 1.2 goals per game and Cruzeiro manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Cruzeiro prefer to keep things tight (0.8 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Santos against this setup.
In the last 10 meetings: Santos have won 4, Cruzeiro 5, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.6 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Cruzeiro 0-0 Santos, Santos 3-0 Cruzeiro, Cruzeiro 1-2 Santos.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Santos Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Cruzeiro Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Santos vs Cruzeiro kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.