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The key duel: Pumas's attack against Querétaro's back line.
A Liga MX fixture between Pumas and Querétaro. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Pumas will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Querétaro travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickPumas to win at @1.60. Model probability 55% vs implied 63%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Goals look likely here. Pumas average 2.0 per game (2.0 at home) and Querétaro chip in with 1.6 (1.6 away). Defensively, Pumas concede 1.3 at home and Querétaro leak 1.1 on the road. We make it 61% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming.
Pumas are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.3 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Querétaro, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Pumas Win | @1.60 | 55.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.50 | 24.1% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Querétaro Win | @4.75 | 20.5% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.62 | 60.6% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.10 | 39.4% | William Hill |
Our model makes Pumas the favourite with a 55.4% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Pumas @ 1.60, Draw @ 3.50, Querétaro @ 4.75. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Pumas vs Querétaro kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 in the Liga MX.