Mirassol vs Botafogo Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Neck and neck in the Brasileirão Série A standings. Mirassol (4th, 67 pts) host Botafogo (6th, 63 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
Eduardo has been Mirassol's spearhead, with 4 goals and 0 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.41 shots on target per game. Danilo Santos has been Botafogo's main threat, with 7 goals and 2 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.76 shots on target per game.
Neither side arrives in vintage form. Mirassol have gone L-L-W-D-W, Botafogo's L-D-D-D-W reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Mirassol create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Botafogo create 1.6 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Mirassol average 1.7 goals per game and Botafogo manage 1.5. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Mirassol and Botafogo together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Both sides are in the chasing pack. Mirassol (4th) and Botafogo (6th) are still in touch with the playoff places, and a result here matters.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Mirassol Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Botafogo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Mirassol vs Botafogo kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 21:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.