Mirassol vs Botafogo Bet Builder Tip
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
Our Model's Picks
Live bookie odds · verified record coming soonOur 2-Leg Bet Builder
78.8% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail
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Botafogo or draw
≈1.11API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Botafogo or draw (90%).
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Over 2.5 Goals
≈1.14API-Football goals model: expected goals 2.50 + 2.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 88%.
Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Mirassol vs Botafogo, 78.8% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.
More to Build With
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Arthur Cabral BotafogoShots on Target 1+ 66%
Arthur Cabral averages 1.20 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.08, P(1+)=66% P(2+)=29%
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Matheus Martins BotafogoShots on Target 1+ 58%
Matheus Martins averages 0.95 SoT/match (21 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.86, P(1+)=58% P(2+)=21%
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Alesson MirassolShots on Target 1+ 50%
Alesson averages 0.64 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.70, P(1+)=50% P(2+)=16%
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Danilo Santos BotafogoShots on Target 1+ 50%
Danilo Santos averages 0.76 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.69, P(1+)=50% P(2+)=15%
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A. Barboza BotafogoShots on Target 1+ 41%
A. Barboza averages 0.58 SoT/match (12 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.53, P(1+)=41% P(2+)=10%
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José Aldo MirassolTo Be Carded 39%
José Aldo (Midfielder) on 0.41 yellows/match (17 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.49, P(carded)=39%
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A. Barboza BotafogoTo Be Carded 37%
A. Barboza (Defender) on 0.42 yellows/match (12 apps), pos-mult 1.10 → lambda 0.46, P(carded)=37%
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Eduardo MirassolShots on Target 1+ 36%
Eduardo averages 0.41 SoT/match (17 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.45, P(1+)=36% P(2+)=8%
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats
Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
- Over 9.5 Match Corners, 48% Corners: Mirassol avg 4.0 for/5.9 against, Botafogo avg 3.2 for/5.9 against → expected 9.5 match corners
- Over 4.5 Match Cards, 79% Cards: Mirassol avg 2.3/game, Botafogo avg 4.3/game → expected 6.6 match cards
- Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 69% Fouls: Mirassol avg 13.0/game, Botafogo avg 14.2/game → expected 27.2 match fouls
- Over 22.5 Match Shots, 43% Shots: Mirassol avg 10.1/game, Botafogo avg 11.7/game → expected 21.9 match shots
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.
View our full verified track record → | Full match preview →