Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas Predictions & Odds
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A MLS clash between two sides separated by just 3 places in the table. Minnesota United FC (4th, 58 pts) and FC Dallas (7th, 44 pts) both have plenty to play for.
K. Yeboah has been Minnesota United FC's spearhead, with 10 goals and 0 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game. L. Farrington has been FC Dallas's main threat, with 6 goals and 2 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 0.60 shots on target per game.
The travelling FC Dallas fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. recent form reads W-W-D-L-D. That W-W-D-L-D away form is genuinely impressive. Minnesota United FC have been wobbling (L-D-D-D-L) recent form reads L-D-D-D-L. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Minnesota United FC will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Interestingly, Minnesota United FC have been poor at home recently while FC Dallas travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record. One thing to keep in mind about Minnesota United FC. They're scoring 1.7 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.0. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.4), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Minnesota United FC create chances worth 1.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. FC Dallas create 1.1 (giving up 1.8) for a balance of -0.7. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Minnesota United FC are scoring 1.7 goals a game off chances worth just 1.0. That's +0.4 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off.
Minnesota United FC average 1.7 goals per game and FC Dallas manage 1.5. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both sides are in the chasing pack. Minnesota United FC (4th) and FC Dallas (7th) are still in touch with the playoff places, and a result here matters.
In the last 10 meetings: Minnesota United FC have won 4, FC Dallas 2, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: FC Dallas 0-1 Minnesota United FC, FC Dallas 1-2 Minnesota United FC, Minnesota United FC 0-0 FC Dallas.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Minnesota United FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | FC Dallas Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 01:30 in the MLS.