Liverpool vs Tottenham Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Liverpool are winless in their last five; Tottenham have taken 7 points from their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this EFL Cup tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Liverpool create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Tottenham create 1.2 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Liverpool average 1.9 goals per game and Tottenham manage 1.6. Combined that's just 3.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Liverpool are all-out attack: 1.9 goals a game, but they leak 1.9 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Tottenham, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Liverpool have won 7, Tottenham 2, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 4.4 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham, Tottenham 1-2 Liverpool, Liverpool 5-1 Tottenham, Liverpool 4-0 Tottenham.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Liverpool Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Tottenham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Liverpool vs Tottenham kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.