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Neck and neck in the Ligue 1 standings. Le Mans (13th, 1 pts) host Lorient (14th, 1 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
Le Mans will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D1 L0 at home). Lorient's away record reads W0 D1 L0. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Lorient have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Le Mans are scoring 2.0 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Lorient manage 0.5 (0.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 54%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 100% of Le Mans's home games and 35% of Lorient's away matches.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
Le Mans are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 2.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Lorient, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 4 meetings: Le Mans have won 1, Lorient 3, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 3.3 goals per game. 3 of the last 4 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Lorient 4-2 Le Mans, Le Mans 1-2 Lorient, Lorient 1-2 Le Mans, Le Mans 0-1 Lorient.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%) and 1-2 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Le Mans Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Lorient Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Le Mans vs Lorient kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 50.8% probability.