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Le Havre have taken five points from their last five; Angers are winless in their last five. Form gives little away going into this Ligue 1 tie.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Le Havre come out at -0.3 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.9. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Le Havre create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Angers create 1.1 (giving up 2.0) for a balance of -0.9. The underlying numbers clearly favour Le Havre. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Le Havre average 1.4 goals per game and Angers manage 0.6. Combined that's just 2.0. We make it only 24% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 59% of Le Havre's home games and 41% of Angers's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
In the last 10 meetings: Le Havre have won 3, Angers 4, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 1.8 goals per game. 3 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Angers 1-1 Le Havre, Le Havre 2-1 Angers, Le Havre 0-0 Angers, Angers 1-1 Le Havre.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (14%) and 2-0 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Le Havre Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Angers Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Le Havre vs Angers kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.9% probability.