Fulham vs Manchester United Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Fulham (16th, 0 pts) host Manchester United (11th, 3 pts) in the Premier League. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Fulham will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Manchester United's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Fulham's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Season-long, Manchester United average 1.5 points per game compared to Fulham's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. Interestingly, Fulham look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.3 a game, but they're only converting 1.0 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Fulham create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Manchester United create 1.6 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of +0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Fulham should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.3 a game but they're only getting 1.0 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful.
Goals look likely here. Fulham average 1.0 per game (2.0 at home) and Manchester United chip in with 2.5 (0.0 away). Defensively, Fulham concede 3.0 at home and Manchester United leak 2.0 on the road. We make it 68% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 59%.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 53% of Fulham's home games and 74% of Manchester United's away matches.
Manchester United have goals in them (2.5 per game) but their record at the back (2.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Fulham have won 1, Manchester United 7, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Manchester United 3-2 Fulham, Fulham 1-1 Manchester United, Manchester United 1-1 Fulham, Fulham 0-1 Manchester United.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%) and 1-3 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Fulham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Manchester United Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Fulham vs Manchester United kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 58.5% probability.