Derby vs Stoke City Prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00 Championship

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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A Championship meeting between Derby (22nd, 5 pts) and Stoke City (7th, 13 pts).

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Recent form

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Derby DLL

Last 3, newest first: 0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 2 scored, 4 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep at Burnley 1-1 Drew
Sat 12 Sep v Birmingham 1-2 Lost
Wed 9 Sep v West Brom 0-1 Lost
Stoke City WDWWLD

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 10 scored, 7 conceded.

Sat 12 Sep at watford 2-1 Won
Tue 8 Sep at cardiff city 1-1 Drew
Sat 5 Sep v Charlton Athletic 4-0 Won
Tue 1 Sep v Norwich City 1-0 Won
Sat 29 Aug at wolverhampton wanderers 1-4 Lost
Tue 25 Aug v Hull City 1-1 Drew

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Derby v Stoke City: the numbers

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DerbyStoke City 22League position7 1-2-5League record, won-drawn-lost4-1-3 7-14Goals for and against13-12 5Points13 0-1-3Home record v away record1-1-2 0.88Scored a game1.63 1.75Conceded a game1.50 com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@6773c3c5xG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@2d551082 26%Clean sheets28% 9%Failed to score37% 65%Both teams scored43%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Derby v Stoke City: head to head

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Derby won 5 2 draws Stoke City won 3
2.3 goals a game 4/10 both scored 6/10 over 2.5
6 Apr 2026 Derby v Stoke City 2-0
9 Aug 2025 Stoke City v Derby 3-1
3 May 2025 Derby v Stoke City 0-0
2 Nov 2024 Stoke City v Derby 2-1
22 Jul 2023 Derby v Stoke City 3-0
30 Dec 2021 Stoke City v Derby 1-2
18 Sep 2021 Derby v Stoke City 2-1
20 Mar 2021 Stoke City v Derby 1-0
12 Dec 2020 Derby v Stoke City 0-0
31 Jan 2020 Derby v Stoke City 4-0

Likely scorelines

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1-210% 2-17% 2-26% 1-35% 0-34% 2-33%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Derby vs Stoke City: FAQs

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Derby vs Stoke City prediction: what is the call?

The model has not made a call on this game yet. Calls are published before kick-off and graded in public.

What time does Derby vs Stoke City kick off?

Derby vs Stoke City kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time (Championship).

What form are Derby and Stoke City in?

Derby have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 (D L L, newest first), scoring 2 and conceding 4. Stoke City have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W D W W L D, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 7.

What is the head to head between Derby and Stoke City?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Derby won 5, Stoke City won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 6 Apr 2026, finished Derby 2-0 Stoke City.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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Keep going

Derby team page Stoke City team page All Championship predictions The bet hub · every bet, one page All previews The full track record