Lecce vs AS Roma Predictions & Odds
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Lecce have won three of their last five; AS Roma have won five straight. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Serie A tie.
AS Roma could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.6 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.7. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much. The gap in chance quality is clear: AS Roma come out at +0.8 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.7. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Lecce create chances worth 0.9 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. AS Roma create 1.7 (giving up 0.9) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, AS Roma look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. AS Roma are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.6 goals vs chance quality of 1.7). Both runs could cool off at once.
Lecce average 1.2 goals per game and AS Roma manage 2.6. Combined that's just 3.8. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 37% of Lecce's home games and 42% of AS Roma's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Lecce do it the hard way: only 1.2 a game up top, but a mean 0.8 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. AS Roma are similarly well-balanced. 2.6 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (14%) and 0-2 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Lecce Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | AS Roma Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Lecce vs AS Roma kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:30 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.