Atalanta vs Bologna Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Atalanta have taken five points from their last five; Bologna have taken 8 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Serie A tie.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Atalanta come out at +0.3 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.1. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Atalanta create chances worth 1.4 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Bologna create 1.1 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of -0.1. The underlying numbers clearly favour Atalanta. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Atalanta average 1.2 goals per game and Bologna manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 42% of Atalanta's home games and 58% of Bologna's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%) and 1-0 (10%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Atalanta Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Bologna Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Atalanta vs Bologna kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:45 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.