Arsenal crestManchester City crest

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction

Sunday 29 November 2026, 16:30 Premier League

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1292 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Arsenal crestArsenal 46% Draw 25% Manchester City crestManchester City 29%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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A Premier League clash between two sides separated by just 2 places in the table. Arsenal (1st, 27 pts) and Manchester City (3rd, 21 pts) both have plenty to play for.

Too close to call with any conviction. Arsenal edge it at 46% but a draw (25%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.22Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.22

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Arsenal win 46% 2.00 50%
Draw 25% 3.50 29%
Manchester City win 29% 3.50 29%
Arsenal or draw 75% 1.28 78%
Manchester City or draw 55% 1.80 56%
Either side to win, no draw 1.28 78%
Over 2.5 goals 55% 1.73 58%
Both teams to score 57% 1.62 62%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

11 markets
Over 0.5 second half goals Bet365 1.20
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.22
Arsenal or Manchester City (double chance) Bet365 1.28
Arsenal under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Arsenal or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.28
Arsenal over 1 goals 1xBet 1.32
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.33
Manchester City over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Over 2 goals Betano 1.36
Manchester City under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.44

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Arsenal crestArsenal WWWDWD

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost. 9 scored, 4 conceded.

Sat 7 Nov Hull City crestv Hull City 1-0 Won
Wed 4 Nov Slavia Prague crestat Slavia Prague 2-1 Won
Sun 1 Nov Liverpool crestat Liverpool 1-0 Won
Tue 27 Oct Fleetwood Town crestat Fleetwood Town 1-1 Drew
Sat 24 Oct Everton crestv Everton 2-0 Won
Wed 21 Oct Bayern Munich crestat Bayern Munich 2-2 Drew
Manchester City crestManchester City LWLDLW

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 12 scored, 11 conceded.

Sat 7 Nov Nottingham Forest crestat Nottingham Forest 1-3 Lost
Wed 4 Nov RB Leipzig crestat RB Leipzig 3-2 Won
Sat 31 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion crestv Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 Lost
Wed 28 Oct Brighton And Hove Albion crestv Brighton And Hove Albion 2-2 Drew
Sat 24 Oct Aston Villa crestat Aston Villa 1-2 Lost
Tue 20 Oct AEK Athens crestv AEK Athens 5-1 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Arsenal v Manchester City: the numbers

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Arsenal crestArsenalManchester City crestManchester City 1League position3 9-0-1League record, won-drawn-lost7-0-3 15-5Goals for and against21-13 27Points21 5-0-0Home record v away record3-0-2 1.50Scored a game2.10 0.50Conceded a game1.30 1.62xG for a game2.03 50%Clean sheets42% 8%Failed to score11% 47%Both teams scored50%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Arsenal v Manchester City: head to head

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Arsenal won 3 4 draws Manchester City won 3
2.8 goals a game 6/10 both scored 5/10 over 2.5
16 Aug 2026 Arsenal crestManchester City crestArsenal v Manchester City 3-0
19 Apr 2026 Manchester City crestArsenal crestManchester City v Arsenal 2-1
22 Mar 2026 Arsenal crestManchester City crestArsenal v Manchester City 0-2
21 Sep 2025 Arsenal crestManchester City crestArsenal v Manchester City 1-1
2 Feb 2025 Arsenal crestManchester City crestArsenal v Manchester City 5-1
22 Sep 2024 Manchester City crestArsenal crestManchester City v Arsenal 2-2
31 Mar 2024 Manchester City crestArsenal crestManchester City v Arsenal 0-0
8 Oct 2023 Arsenal crestManchester City crestArsenal v Manchester City 1-0
6 Aug 2023 Arsenal crestManchester City crestArsenal v Manchester City 1-1
26 Apr 2023 Manchester City crestArsenal crestManchester City v Arsenal 4-1

Likely scorelines

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2-19% 3-14% 3-03% 3-23% 4-11% 4-01%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Arsenal vs Manchester City: FAQs

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Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Arsenal vs Manchester City kick off?

Arsenal vs Manchester City kicks off on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 16:30 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Arsenal vs Manchester City?

The best prices across the books we track: Arsenal 2.00, the draw 3.50, Manchester City 3.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Arsenal and Manchester City in?

Arsenal have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W W D W D, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Manchester City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L W L D L W, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 11.

What is the head to head between Arsenal and Manchester City?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Arsenal won 3, Manchester City won 3 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 16 Aug 2026, finished Arsenal 3-0 Manchester City.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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