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The model makes Al-Ittihad 53% favourites here. Al-Faisaly KSA FC carry the 23% upset.
Al-Faisaly KSA FC are winless in their last four; Al-Ittihad have taken 8 points from their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Saudi Pro League tie.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.55. Model probability 61% vs implied 65%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Al-Faisaly KSA FC are scoring 1.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Al-Ittihad manage 1.5 (1.5 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 61%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Al-Faisaly KSA FC Win | @3.70 | 22.7% | Grosvenor |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.65 | 24.7% | Grosvenor |
| Match Result | Al-Ittihad Win | @1.79 | 52.5% | Grosvenor |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.55 | 61.3% | Grosvenor |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.35 | 38.7% | Grosvenor |
Our model makes Al-Ittihad the favourite with a 52.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Al-Faisaly KSA FC @ 3.70, Draw @ 3.65, Al-Ittihad @ 1.79. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Al-Faisaly KSA FC vs Al-Ittihad kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 16:45 in the Saudi Pro League.