Burnley vs Wolves Prediction
Friday 16 October 2026, 20:00 Championship1125 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Burnley 25%
Draw 29%
Wolves 46%
The read
The deskBurnley's home form has turned into a string of draws rather than losses, while Wolves arrive fifth but have lost three of their last five away. That gap between table position and recent away form is the trap here, goals look the safer read than backing either side to win outright.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
5 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProWolves have won just 1 of their last 5 away (L L W D L), losing 3 of those 5. Burnley's home form is draw-heavy, not loss-heavy (D L D D D, only 1 defeat in 5), and the last 10 h2h meetings split 4-3-3.
Burnley have drawn 4 of their last 5 at home (D L D D D) and the last 10 h2h meetings include 3 draws; a draw is a live result here, not a rounding error.
“Table flatters Wolves away form; Burnley draw too much at home for either side to win clean.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 25% | 3.00 | 33% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | 29% |
| Wolves win | 46% | 2.30 | 43% |
| Burnley or draw | 62% | 1.57 | 64% |
| Wolves or draw | 72% | 1.40 | 71% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBurnley
DWDLDL
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost. 10 scored, 9 conceded.
v Charlton Athletic
2-2
Drew
at Watford
4-0
Won
v Derby County
1-1
Drew
at Swansea City
1-3
Lost
at Wrexham
1-1
Drew
v Bristol City
1-2
Lost
Wolves
LLWLWD
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 5 scored, 7 conceded.
v Bolton Wanderers
1-3
Lost
at Middlesbrough
0-1
Lost
v West Bromwich Albion
1-0
Won
at Everton
0-1
Lost
at Sheffield United
1-0
Won
at Birmingham City
2-2
Drew
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Burnley v Wolves: the numbers
Always freeBurnleyWolves
21League position10
1-5-4League record, won-drawn-lost4-2-3
15-19Goals for and against16-14
8Points14
0-4-1Home record v away record2-1-2
1.50Scored a game1.78
1.90Conceded a game1.56
1.25xG for a game1.79
11%Clean sheets21%
37%Failed to score32%
58%Both teams scored47%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Burnley v Wolves: head to head
Always freeBurnley v Wolves
1-1
Wolves v Burnley
2-3
Wolves v Burnley
2-0
Burnley v Wolves
1-1
Wolves v Burnley
1-0
Wolves v Burnley
3-0
Burnley v Wolves
1-0
Wolves v Burnley
0-0
Wolves v Burnley
0-4
Burnley v Wolves
2-1
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Burnley vs Wolves: FAQs
Always freeBurnley vs Wolves prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.27. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Burnley vs Wolves kick off?
Burnley vs Wolves kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Championship).
What are the best odds for Burnley vs Wolves?
The best prices across the books we track: Burnley 3.00, the draw 3.50, Wolves 2.30. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Burnley and Wolves in?
Burnley have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D W D L D L, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 9. Wolves have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L L W L W D, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 7.
What is the head to head between Burnley and Wolves?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Burnley won 4, Wolves won 3 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 24 May 2026, finished Burnley 1-1 Wolves.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.