Burnley crestWolves crest

Burnley v Wolves bet builder

Friday 16 October 2026, 20:00 · Championship

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Wolves or draw

    72% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 72%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.38 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 63% chance all land
1.58

The model puts this 2-leg build at 63% combined for Burnley v Wolves. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.25 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 68% 1.36 +
  • Burnley or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.57 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Z. Amdouni Burnley
    Shots on target 1+

    Z. Amdouni: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Fer López Wolves
    Shots on target 1+

    Fer López: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Munetsi Wolves
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Munetsi: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Rodrigo Gomes Wolves
    Shots on target 1+

    Rodrigo Gomes: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Bruun Larsen Burnley
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Bruun Larsen: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Mane Wolves
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Mane: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Ramazani Burnley
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Ramazani: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 1.5 goals 83% market BetVictor
    1.27 +
  • Wolves over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Burnley or Wolves (double chance) 81% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Wolves under 6 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Wolves under 2 goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.30 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.29 +
  • Burnley over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.29 +
  • Wolves or Draw (double chance) 76% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Wolves over 3.5 corners 76% market 1xBet
    1.32 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
Championship Middlesbrough crestCardiff crestMiddlesbrough vs Cardiff Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Championship Millwall crestLincoln crestMillwall vs Lincoln Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Championship Watford crestCharlton crestWatford vs Charlton Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Championship Southampton crestBolton crestSouthampton vs Bolton Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Championship Wrexham crestPreston crestWrexham vs Preston Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Championship Norwich crestPortsmouth crestNorwich vs Portsmouth Sat 17 Oct, 15:00
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.