Villarreal v Napoli

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00 Champions League

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1057 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Villarreal 37% Draw 24% Napoli 37%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Villarreal have lost three of their last five; Napoli have lost three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this Champions League tie.

Too close to call with any conviction. Villarreal edge it at 37% but a draw (24%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.75William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.75

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Villarreal win 37% 2.30 43%
Draw 24% 3.60 28%
Napoli win 37% 3.00 33%
Over 2.5 goals 56% 1.75 57%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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