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Venezia have taken 0 points from their last 1; Fiorentina have taken five points from their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Serie A tie.
Venezia will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Fiorentina's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Fiorentina have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Venezia are scoring 3.2 a game (0.0 of those at home) and Fiorentina manage 0.6 (0.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 54%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 46%.
Both teams score in 50% of Venezia's home games and 53% of Fiorentina's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Venezia are all-out attack: 3.2 goals a game, but they leak 2.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Fiorentina, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 4 meetings: Venezia have won 2, Fiorentina 1, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 1.3 goals per game. 1 of the last 4 produced 3+ goals. Clean sheets are common in this fixture. One-sided results have been the pattern. Recent results: Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina, Fiorentina 0-0 Venezia, Fiorentina 1-0 Venezia, Venezia 1-0 Fiorentina.
Most likely scorelines: 3-1 (8%) and 4-1 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Venezia Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Fiorentina Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Venezia vs Fiorentina kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 46.0% probability.