Sassuolo vs Juventus Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Sassuolo (12th, 0 pts) host Juventus (7th, 3 pts) in the Serie A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Season-long, Juventus average 3.0 points per game compared to Sassuolo's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. Juventus are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.9 against 1.0 actual goals). They look due a few more. The gap in chance quality is clear: Juventus come out at +1.1 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.2. that's a real edge in the quality of chances. Sassuolo have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 1.5 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.2. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sassuolo create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Juventus create 1.9 (giving up 0.8) for a balance of +1.1. On the quality of chances, Juventus look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Juventus are creating chances worth 1.9 a game but only finishing 1.0. the underlying performance is better than the results show. Sassuolo are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.5 a game over the last 5 vs 1.2 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Sassuolo average 1.0 goals per game and Juventus manage 1.0. Combined that's just 2.0. We make it only 35% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 40%. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Sassuolo and Juventus together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Both teams score in 47% of Sassuolo's home games and 42% of Juventus's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Juventus prefer to keep things tight (0.8 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Sassuolo against this setup.
In the last 10 meetings: Sassuolo have won 3, Juventus 6, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.1 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo, Sassuolo 0-3 Juventus, Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo, Sassuolo 4-2 Juventus.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13%) and 1-1 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sassuolo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Juventus Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Juventus kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 39.8% probability.