Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 04:00 Liga MX

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1068 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Tigres UANL 28% Draw 29% Toluca 44%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Tigres UANL have taken six points from their last five; Toluca have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Liga MX tie.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.67Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.67

The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Tigres UANL win 2.75 36%
Draw 3.60 28%
Toluca win 2.38 42%
Tigres UANL or draw 1.57 64%
Toluca or draw 1.44 69%
Either side to win, no draw 1.30 77%
Over 2.5 goals 1.67 60%
Both teams to score 1.57 64%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

16 markets
Toluca over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Tigres UANL under 2 goals 1xBet 1.19
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.25
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.24
Tigres UANL or Toluca (double chance) William Hill 1.30
Tigres UANL over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Tigres UANL over 3.5 corners Betano 1.25
Over 2 goals BetVictor 1.32
Toluca under 2 goals 1xBet 1.31
Over 0.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.34
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.31
Toluca or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.44
Under 11.5 corners Betano 1.36
Under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.44
Toluca over 3.5 corners Betano 1.42
Under 1.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.51

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Home win 2.62 to 2.75 drifting, longer
Home or draw 1.50 to 1.57 drifting, longer
Away win 2.30 to 2.25 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Tigres UANL WLDDDW

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost. 4 scored, 3 conceded.

Sun 27 Sep v puebla 1-0 Won
Sat 19 Sep at fc juarez 0-2 Lost
Sun 13 Sep at monterrey 0-0 Drew
Sun 6 Sep v Necaxa 1-1 Drew
Sun 30 Aug at santos 0-0 Drew
Sat 22 Aug v Atlante 2-0 Won
Toluca DLWWWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 20 scored, 9 conceded.

Sat 26 Sep at cruz azul 3-3 Drew
Mon 21 Sep v santos laguna 2-3 Lost
Wed 16 Sep at puebla 1-0 Won
Sun 13 Sep v atlas 5-2 Won
Sat 12 Sep v Atlas 5-1 Won
Mon 31 Aug v FC Juarez 4-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Tigres UANL v Toluca: the numbers

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Tigres UANLToluca 1.08Scored a game2.43 1.54Conceded a game1.14 31%Clean sheets36% 23%Failed to score7% 62%Both teams scored64%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Tigres UANL v Toluca: head to head

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Tigres UANL won 3 3 draws Toluca won 4
2.5 goals a game 6/10 both scored 5/10 over 2.5
31 May 2026 Toluca v Tigres UANL 1-1
18 Jan 2026 Tigres UANL v Toluca 0-0
15 Dec 2025 Toluca v Tigres UANL 2-1
12 Dec 2025 Tigres UANL v Toluca 1-0
27 Jul 2025 Toluca v Tigres UANL 3-4
18 May 2025 Toluca v Tigres UANL 3-0
15 May 2025 Tigres UANL v Toluca 1-1
2 Feb 2025 Toluca v Tigres UANL 1-0
7 Nov 2024 Tigres UANL v Toluca 2-1
2 Mar 2024 Toluca v Tigres UANL 2-1

Tigres UANL vs Toluca: FAQs

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Tigres UANL vs Toluca prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Tigres UANL vs Toluca kick off?

Tigres UANL vs Toluca kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 04:00 UK time (Liga MX).

What are the best odds for Tigres UANL vs Toluca?

The best prices across the books we track: Tigres UANL 2.75, the draw 3.60, Toluca 2.38. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Tigres UANL and Toluca in?

Tigres UANL have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W L D D D W, newest first), scoring 4 and conceding 3. Toluca have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (D L W W W W, newest first), scoring 20 and conceding 9.

What is the head to head between Tigres UANL and Toluca?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Tigres UANL won 3, Toluca won 4 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 31 May 2026, finished Toluca 1-1 Tigres UANL.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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