01The read
ST Johnstone Host Celtic: Our Prediction
ST Johnstone 13%, the draw 23%, Celtic 63%. That's the shape of this one.
ST Johnstone have taken 7 points from their last five; Celtic are unbeaten in their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Scottish Premiership tie.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickCeltic to win at @1.43. Model probability 63% vs implied 70%. The market is 7pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
✈
Strong Travellers
Celtic win 57% of their away games (W11 from 19). Dangerous visitors
🧤
Defensive Wall
ST Johnstone keep clean sheets in 50% of games. One of the tightest defences around
📊
H2H Favours Away
Celtic have won 8 of the last 10 encounters. They have a psychological edge
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 78% of Celtic's matches this season
▸ Form & goals
Celtic have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
Goals are a tough one to call here. ST Johnstone are scoring 1.3 a game (1.3 of those at home) and Celtic manage 1.9 (1.6 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 62%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.7 goals when they meet, with 8 of the last 10 producing three or more.
▸ Team news & context
Celtic have goals in them (1.9 per game) but their record at the back (1.1 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: ST Johnstone have won 1, Celtic 8, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.7 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: ST Johnstone 0-5 Celtic, ST Johnstone 1-0 Celtic, Celtic 4-0 ST Johnstone.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
ST Johnstone HT
5.90
-
Draw HT
2.44
-
Celtic HT
1.90
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
ST Johnstone vs Celtic Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
ST Johnstone Win |
@6.40
|
12.9% |
Marathon Bet |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.60
|
22.5% |
Marathon Bet |
| Match Result |
Celtic Win |
@1.43
|
62.6% |
Marathon Bet |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.72
|
48.4% |
Marathon Bet |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.98
|
51.6% |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.53
|
62.0% |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.23
|
38.0% |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.13
|
- |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.50
|
- |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.45
|
- |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.53
|
- |
Marathon Bet |
05The numbers
ST Johnstone vs Celtic Team Stats
ST Johnstone
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Celtic
Position
3
Played
38
Record
26W-4D-8L
Goals F/A
73/41
Avg Goals Scored
1.90
Points
67
Overall Form
WDWWW
Away Form
DWWW
Away Record
11W-3D-5L
ST Johnstone vs Celtic Head to Head
1 Home Wins
1 Draws
8 Away Wins
3.7
Avg Goals
5/10
BTTS
8/10
Over 2.5
2025-04-20
ST Johnstone 0-5 Celtic
2025-04-06
ST Johnstone 1-0 Celtic
2024-12-29
ST Johnstone 0-4 Celtic
2024-09-28
ST Johnstone 0-6 Celtic
2024-03-16
ST Johnstone 1-3 Celtic
2023-12-03
ST Johnstone 1-3 Celtic
2023-08-26
ST Johnstone 0-0 Celtic
2023-02-05
ST Johnstone 1-4 Celtic
2022-12-24
ST Johnstone 1-4 Celtic
2022-10-08
ST Johnstone 1-2 Celtic
Full ST Johnstone vs Celtic head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
2-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
0-4
1.3%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 10 priced markets
-
Under 2 first half goals
85%
@1.18
Marathon Bet
-
Over 2 goals
83%
@1.21
Marathon Bet
-
Celtic under 3 goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Under 4 goals
81%
@1.24
Marathon Bet
-
ST Johnstone under 1.5 goals
81%
@1.24
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
79%
@1.26
Marathon Bet
-
Over 1 second half goals
79%
@1.26
Marathon Bet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
79%
@1.27
Marathon Bet
-
Celtic to win
70%
@1.43
Marathon Bet
-
Celtic over 1.5 goals
68%
@1.47
Marathon Bet
Build a slip from these markets →