Key Stats
🚨
St Mirren have failed to score in 45% of matches
01The read
Momentum Swings: St Mirren Fancy Their Chances at Wobbly Rangers
Rangers 68%, the draw 17%, St Mirren 13%. That's the shape of this one.
Rangers (2nd, 69 pts) host St Mirren (10th, 30 pts) in the Scottish Premiership. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickRangers to win at @1.30. Model probability 68% vs implied 77%. The market is 9pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
🚫
Poor Away Form
St Mirren have won just 3 of 20 on the road. Travelling support won't expect much
😶
Goal Shy
St Mirren fail to score in 45% of their games. They go missing in front of goal far too often
⚖
Class Gap
Goal difference tells the story: Rangers at +33 vs St Mirren at -24. A chasm in quality
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 88% of Rangers's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
The travelling St Mirren fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. unbeaten in 5. That D-W-W-D-W away form is genuinely impressive. Rangers have been wobbling (D-L-D-W-L) recent form reads D-L-D-W-L. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Rangers will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Interestingly, Rangers have been poor at home recently while St Mirren travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Rangers are scoring 2.0 a game (2.1 of those at home) and St Mirren manage 0.8 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 60%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 44%.
▸ Team news & context
Rangers are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.1 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at St Mirren, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: Rangers have won 6, St Mirren 2, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.8 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Rangers 5-1 St Mirren, St Mirren 0-1 Rangers, Rangers 2-1 St Mirren.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Rangers HT
1.75
-
Draw HT
2.47
-
St Mirren HT
7.70
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Rangers vs St Mirren Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Rangers Win |
@1.30
|
67.6% |
Marathon Bet |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@5.10
|
17.2% |
Marathon Bet |
| Match Result |
St Mirren Win |
@9.30
|
13.2% |
Marathon Bet |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.90
|
43.7% |
Marathon Bet |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.78
|
56.3% |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.59
|
59.9% |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.31
|
40.1% |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.13
|
- |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.55
|
- |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.38
|
- |
Marathon Bet |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.47
|
- |
Marathon Bet |
05The numbers
Rangers vs St Mirren Team Stats
Rangers
Position
2
Played
38
Record
20W-12D-6L
Goals F/A
76/43
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
Points
69
Overall Form
DLDWL
Home Form
DLLL
Home Record
11W-5D-3L
St Mirren
Position
10
Played
40
Record
9W-11D-20L
Goals F/A
32/56
Avg Goals Scored
0.80
Points
30
Overall Form
DWWDW
Away Form
DWWL
Away Record
3W-5D-12L
Rangers vs St Mirren Head to Head
6 Home Wins
2 Draws
2 Away Wins
2.8
Avg Goals
7/10
BTTS
6/10
Over 2.5
2026-08-16
Rangers 5-1 ST Mirren
2026-03-15
Rangers 1-0 ST Mirren
2025-12-30
Rangers 2-1 ST Mirren
2025-08-24
Rangers 1-1 ST Mirren
2025-04-26
Rangers 2-2 ST Mirren
2025-02-22
Rangers 0-2 ST Mirren
2024-12-26
Rangers 1-2 ST Mirren
2024-10-27
Rangers 2-1 ST Mirren
2024-04-28
Rangers 2-1 ST Mirren
2024-01-27
Rangers 1-0 ST Mirren
Full Rangers vs St Mirren head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
9.7%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
4-1
2.3%
4-2
1.1%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 9 priced markets
-
Rangers under 3.5 goals
85%
@1.18
Marathon Bet
-
Over 2 goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Under 4 goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
80%
@1.25
Marathon Bet
-
Over 1 second half goals
80%
@1.25
Marathon Bet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
78%
@1.28
Marathon Bet
-
Rangers under 3 goals
78%
@1.28
Marathon Bet
-
St Mirren under 1 goals
78%
@1.29
Marathon Bet
-
Rangers to win
77%
@1.30
Marathon Bet
Build a slip from these markets →