RC Lens v Sporting Lisbon

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 17:45 Champions League

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1057 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

RC Lens 46% Draw 25% Sporting Lisbon 41%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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The bookmakers open RC Lens at @2.38 for this Champions League tie, with Sporting Lisbon out at @2.70.

A razor-thin margin: RC Lens at 46%, but the draw sits at 25%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.60William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.60

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
RC Lens win 46% 2.45 41%
Draw 25% 3.80 26%
Sporting Lisbon win 41% 2.75 36%
Over 2.5 goals 64% 1.60 62%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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