Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
B
B. White
1+ Shots on Target
81% (model)
B. White averages 1.82 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
T
T. Müller
1+ Shots on Target
62% (model)
T. Müller averages 1.06 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
C
C. Harris
1+ Shots on Target
51% (model)
C. Harris averages 0.65 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
B
B. White
2+ Shots on Target
49% (model)
B. White averages 1.82 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
E
E. Sabbi
1+ Shots on Target
47% (model)
E. Sabbi averages 0.71 SoT/match (14 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Analysing Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps: Who Wins?
Sporting Kansas City 15%, the draw 21%, Vancouver Whitecaps 62%. That's the shape of this one.
Sporting Kansas City (15th, 28 pts) face the unenviable task of hosting in-form Vancouver Whitecaps (2nd, 63 pts). The gap in quality should tell, but home advantage can be a great leveller.
C. Harris has been Sporting Kansas City's spearhead, with 3 goals and 3 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 0.65 shots on target per game. B. White has been Vancouver Whitecaps's main threat, with 10 goals and 2 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 1.82 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickVancouver Whitecaps to win at @1.40. Model probability 62% vs implied 71%. The market is 9pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
C
C. Harris
Sporting Kansas City · Attacker
3 goals · 3 assists in 20 apps
0.7 shots on target a game
B
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps · Attacker
10 goals · 2 assists in 17 apps
1.8 shots on target a game
Key facts
⚠
Home Struggles
Sporting Kansas City have won just 4 of 17 at home. No fortress here, and visitors will fancy their chances
✈
Strong Travellers
Vancouver Whitecaps win 50% of their away games (W10 from 20). Dangerous visitors
📊
H2H Favours Away
Vancouver Whitecaps have won 7 of the last 10 encounters. They have a psychological edge
⚖
Quality Gap
Vancouver Whitecaps's GD of +33 dwarfs Sporting Kansas City's -24. The visitors are a level above
▸ Form & goals
Vancouver Whitecaps are no pushovers away from home. W10 D5 L5 from 20 away trips, scoring 1.5 per game on the road. Sporting Kansas City (W4 D5 L8 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Crucially, Sporting Kansas City are in strong home form while Vancouver Whitecaps are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap. Interestingly, Sporting Kansas City look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.5 a game, but they're only converting 1.4 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals. A concern for Vancouver Whitecaps: they're giving up chances worth 1.6 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.2 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sporting Kansas City create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 2.2), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. Vancouver Whitecaps create 2.0 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, Vancouver Whitecaps look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sporting Kansas City should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.5 a game but they're only getting 1.4 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful. A worry for Sporting Kansas City: the chances they're creating lately are worth 1.0 a game, well below their 1.5 season figure. The attacking output has dipped. Vancouver Whitecaps's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.6 a game over their last 5 vs 1.2 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Sporting Kansas City are scoring 1.4 a game (1.5 of those at home) and Vancouver Whitecaps manage 2.0 (1.5 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 69%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. Sporting Kansas City create chances worth 1.5 a game and Vancouver Whitecaps 2.0. Combined, that's 3.5 a game from open play alone.
▸ Team news & context
Vancouver Whitecaps have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.2 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Sporting Kansas City have won 2, Vancouver Whitecaps 7, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Sporting Kansas City, Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps, Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Sporting Kansas City.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Sporting Kansas City HT
6.00
-
Draw HT
2.75
-
Vancouver Whitecaps HT
1.70
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Team Intel
📊 Sporting Kansas City · xG
For: 1.50/g
Against: 2.20/g
💎 Underscoring xG by 0.50/g, value possible
📊 Vancouver Whitecaps · xG
For: 2.02/g
Against: 1.24/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Sporting Kansas City Win |
@6.00
|
14.9% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.60
|
20.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Vancouver Whitecaps Win |
@1.40
|
62.3% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.55
|
56.4% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.30
|
43.6% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.44
|
69.2% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@3.10
|
30.8% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.12
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@7.00
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.10
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.84
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Team Stats
Sporting Kansas City
Position
15
Played
34
Record
7W-7D-20L
Goals F/A
46/70
Avg Goals Scored
1.40
Points
28
Overall Form
DLLLW
Home Form
DLWLW
Home Record
4W-5D-8L
Vancouver Whitecaps
Position
2
Played
39
Record
22W-9D-8L
Goals F/A
78/45
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
Points
63
Overall Form
LWDDL
Away Form
WDLWL
Away Record
10W-5D-5L
Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head to Head
2 Home Wins
1 Draws
7 Away Wins
2.5
Avg Goals
4/10
BTTS
6/10
Over 2.5
2026-04-18
Sporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
2025-09-21
Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
2025-07-27
Sporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
2024-07-18
Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
2024-05-30
Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps
2023-07-02
Sporting Kansas City 3-0 Vancouver Whitecaps
2023-06-04
Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
2022-05-29
Sporting Kansas City 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
2022-04-03
Sporting Kansas City 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
2021-11-20
Sporting Kansas City 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Full Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
5.0%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.4%
0-4
2.6%
2-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Under 2.5 first half goals
85%
@1.21
Betano
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
85%
@1.25
Betano
-
Under 13.5 corners
84%
@1.19
Unibet
-
Vancouver Whitecaps under 3.5 goals
83%
@1.26
Betano
-
Over 7.5 corners
83%
@1.20
Unibet
-
Sporting Kansas City under 5.5 corners
80%
@1.25
Unibet
-
Vancouver Whitecaps under 8.5 corners
79%
@1.26
Unibet
-
Under 4.5 goals
78%
@1.35
Betano
-
Sporting Kansas City under 1.5 goals
78%
@1.38
Unibet
-
Vancouver Whitecaps over 1.5 goals
76%
@1.36
10Bet
-
Vancouver Whitecaps over 4.5 corners
76%
@1.32
Unibet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
75%
@1.44
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →