Sheffield Utd vs Wolves Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Tricky away day for Wolves (2nd, 7 pts) as they travel to Sheffield Utd (14th, 3 pts), but the visitors' league position tells you they should have more than enough here.
Wolves are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L0 from 1 away trips, scoring 3.0 per game on the road. Sheffield Utd (W0 D1 L0 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Interestingly, Sheffield Utd look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.8 a game, but they're only converting 0.7 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals. Sheffield Utd have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.5 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.8. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sheffield Utd create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them +0.1 a game on the balance. Wolves create 1.1 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.5. The underlying numbers clearly favour Sheffield Utd. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Sheffield Utd should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.8 a game but they're only getting 0.7 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful. Sheffield Utd are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.5 a game over the last 5 vs 1.8 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Sheffield Utd are scoring 0.7 a game (0.0 of those at home) and Wolves manage 3.0 (3.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 44%.
Sheffield Utd do it the hard way: only 0.7 a game up top, but a mean 0.7 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Wolves have goals in them (3.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.3 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Sheffield Utd have won 3, Wolves 6, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.0 goals per game. 3 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Wolves 1-0 Sheffield Utd, Sheffield Utd 2-1 Wolves, Wolves 3-0 Sheffield Utd.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sheffield Utd Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Wolves Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sheffield Utd vs Wolves kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 44.2% probability.