Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
N
N. Möller
1+ Shots on Target
64% (model)
N. Möller averages 0.93 SoT/match (14 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
N
N. Holm
1+ Shots on Target
59% (model)
N. Holm averages 1.00 SoT/match (14 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
K
K. Ingason
1+ Shots on Target
51% (model)
K. Ingason averages 0.80 SoT/match (15 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
E
E. Patoulidis
1+ Shots on Target
51% (model)
E. Patoulidis averages 0.65 SoT/match (17 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
J
J. Soltvedt
1+ Shots on Target
36% (model)
J. Soltvedt averages 0.50 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Momentum Swings: Brann Fancy Their Chances at Wobbly Sandefjord
The model makes Brann 46% favourites here. Sandefjord carry the 26% upset.
Neck and neck in the Eliteserien standings. Sandefjord (5th, 48 pts) host Brann (4th, 56 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
E. Patoulidis has been Sandefjord's spearhead, with 3 goals and 0 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.65 shots on target per game. K. Ingason has been Brann's main threat, with 5 goals and 2 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 0.80 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.50. Model probability 64% vs implied 67%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
E
E. Patoulidis
Sandefjord · Midfielder
3 goals in 17 apps
0.6 shots on target a game
K
K. Ingason
Brann · Attacker
5 goals · 2 assists in 15 apps
0.8 shots on target a game
Key facts
🏟
Home Fortress
Sandefjord have won 11 of 15 at home (73%). They rarely slip up on their own patch
✈
Strong Travellers
Brann win 46% of their away games (W7 from 15). Dangerous visitors
🔥
Goals Expected
Sandefjord score 2.1 per game at home and Brann concede 1.8 away. Goals look inevitable
🤝
Draw Merchants
4 draws from 9 meetings. Stalemates are the pattern here
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 85% of Brann's matches this season
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 64% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
The travelling Brann fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. recent form reads W-W-L-W-W. That W-W-L-W-W away form is genuinely impressive. Sandefjord have been wobbling (W-L-L-L-L) recent form reads W-L-L-L-L. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Sandefjord will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. One thing to keep in mind about Sandefjord. They're scoring 1.8 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.5. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.4), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play. The gap in chance quality is clear: Brann come out at +1.0 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to +0.0. that's a real edge in the quality of chances. Sandefjord have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.5. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sandefjord create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Brann create 1.9 (giving up 0.8) for a balance of +1.0. On the quality of chances, Brann look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sandefjord are scoring 1.8 goals a game off chances worth just 1.5. That's +0.4 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off. Sandefjord are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.9 a game over the last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Goals look likely here. Sandefjord average 1.8 per game (2.1 at home) and Brann chip in with 1.8 (1.6 away). Defensively, Sandefjord concede 0.8 at home and Brann leak 1.8 on the road. We make it 64% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 58%. Two or more goals at @1.14 is a steadier alternative for accas. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. Sandefjord create chances worth 1.5 a game and Brann 1.9. Combined, that's 3.4 a game from open play alone.
▸ Team news & context
Both sides are in the chasing pack. Sandefjord (5th) and Brann (4th) are still in touch with the playoff places, and a result here matters.
Sandefjord are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Brann, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Brann have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.5 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Don't underestimate the visitors. Brann create chances worth 1.9 a game and Sandefjord give up chances worth 1.5 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
In the last 9 meetings: Sandefjord have won 1, Brann 4, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 5 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Brann 0-1 Sandefjord, Sandefjord 0-3 Brann, Brann 1-0 Sandefjord, Sandefjord 2-2 Brann.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (8%) and 1-3 (4%).
First Half Result
-
Sandefjord HT
3.10
-
Draw HT
2.45
-
Brann HT
2.50
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Sandefjord · xG
For: 1.52/g
Against: 1.52/g
⚠️ Outscoring xG by 0.37/g, possibly running hot
📊 Brann · xG
For: 1.87/g
Against: 0.84/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Sandefjord vs Brann Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Sandefjord Win |
@2.90
|
26.0% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.50
|
26.0% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Brann Win |
@2.10
|
46.1% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.44
|
58.4% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.50
|
41.6% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.50
|
63.9% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.50
|
36.1% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.14
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@5.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.62
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Sandefjord vs Brann Team Stats
Sandefjord
Position
5
Played
30
Record
15W-3D-12L
Goals F/A
55/42
Avg Goals Scored
1.80
Points
48
Overall Form
WLLLL
Home Form
LLDDW
Home Record
11W-1D-3L
Brann
Position
4
Played
30
Record
17W-5D-8L
Goals F/A
55/46
Avg Goals Scored
1.80
Points
56
Overall Form
WWLWW
Away Form
WLLWD
Away Record
7W-2D-6L
Sandefjord vs Brann Head to Head
1 Home Wins
4 Draws
4 Away Wins
2.3
Avg Goals
4/9
BTTS
5/9
Over 2.5
2026-04-12
Sandefjord 1-0 Brann
2025-09-20
Sandefjord 0-3 Brann
2025-06-30
Sandefjord 0-1 Brann
2024-09-15
Sandefjord 2-2 Brann
2024-05-16
Sandefjord 1-2 Brann
2023-10-29
Sandefjord 1-1 Brann
2023-05-08
Sandefjord 0-0 Brann
2023-03-19
Sandefjord 0-3 Brann
2021-11-21
Sandefjord 2-2 Brann
Full Sandefjord vs Brann head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
3.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-4
1.4%
0-4
1.1%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 2 goals
85%
@1.18
Marathon Bet
-
Under 4.5 goals
83%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Sandefjord or Brann (double chance)
83%
@1.28
Bet365
-
Sandefjord over 0.5 goals
82%
@1.25
Betano
-
Under 2 first half goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Under 14.5 corners
81%
@1.23
Unibet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
81%
@1.30
Betano
-
Over 1 second half goals
81%
@1.24
Marathon Bet
-
Brann under 2.5 goals
80%
@1.29
Betano
-
Sandefjord under 2 goals
79%
@1.26
Marathon Bet
-
Brann over 1 goals
79%
@1.26
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
78%
@1.35
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →