San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Predictions & Odds
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Neck and neck in the MLS standings. San Jose Earthquakes (10th, 41 pts) host Houston Dynamo (12th, 37 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
P. Judd has been San Jose Earthquakes's spearhead, with 11 goals and 2 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.40 shots on target per game. Guilherme has been Houston Dynamo's main threat, with 12 goals and 5 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.30 shots on target per game.
The travelling Houston Dynamo fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. 5 wins on the bounce. That W-W-W-W-W away form is genuinely impressive. San Jose Earthquakes have been wobbling (L-L-L-D-L) 3 losses in a row. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and San Jose Earthquakes will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Interestingly, San Jose Earthquakes have been poor at home recently while Houston Dynamo travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
San Jose Earthquakes create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Houston Dynamo create 1.4 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.3. The underlying numbers clearly favour San Jose Earthquakes. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
San Jose Earthquakes average 1.8 goals per game and Houston Dynamo manage 1.3. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
San Jose Earthquakes are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.9 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Houston Dynamo, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 10 meetings: San Jose Earthquakes have won 2, Houston Dynamo 6, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 3.6 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Houston Dynamo 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes, San Jose Earthquakes 3-3 Houston Dynamo, San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Houston Dynamo.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | San Jose Earthquakes Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Houston Dynamo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 03:30 in the MLS.