Real Sociedad crestLyon crest

Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction

Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45 Europa League

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1236 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad 52% Draw 25% Lyon crestLyon 23%

The read

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A Europa League clash between two sides separated by just 2 places in the table. Real Sociedad (14th, 4 pts) and Lyon (12th, 6 pts) both have plenty to play for.

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

Alvaro Odriozola: out, long-term knee injury after surgery · Aihen Munoz: out for the season, torn ACL

Lyon crestLyon

Mohamed Ouedraogo: out long-term, torn ACL

Checked Mon 2 Nov, 02:03.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

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The research desk on this game:

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Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Real Sociedad win 1.83 55%
Draw 3.80 26%
Lyon win 4.10 24%
Real Sociedad or draw 1.25 80%
Lyon or draw 1.95 51%
Either side to win, no draw 1.25 80%
Over 2.5 goals 1.57 64%
Both teams to score 1.53 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

19 markets
Real Sociedad or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.25
Real Sociedad or Lyon (double chance) William Hill 1.25
Under 12.5 corners Betano 1.24
Over 2 goals 1xBet 1.23
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.21
Lyon over 2.5 corners 1xBet 1.19
Real Sociedad over 3.5 corners Betano 1.19
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.25
Real Sociedad under 7.5 corners 1xBet 1.24
Lyon over 3 corners 1xBet 1.25
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.26
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Under 5.5 cards Betano 1.27
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.30
Lyon over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Over 2.5 cards Betano 1.33
Lyon under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.44

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Away win 3.50 to 3.90 drifting, longer
Home win 1.91 to 1.75 shortening
Draw 3.60 to 3.80 drifting, longer
Home or draw 1.30 to 1.25 shortening
Under 2.5 goals 2.40 to 2.49 drifting, longer
No draw 1.29 to 1.25 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad LWWWDW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 18 scored, 8 conceded.

Sun 1 Nov Athletic Club crestat Athletic Club 1-2 Lost
Sun 25 Oct Levante crestv Levante 2-1 Won
Thu 22 Oct Lillestrom crestat Lillestrom 6-0 Won
Sun 18 Oct Málaga crestat Málaga 5-2 Won
Thu 15 Oct Union St.-gilloise crestat Union St.-gilloise 1-1 Drew
Sun 11 Oct Deportivo crestv Deportivo 3-2 Won
Lyon crestLyon WLLWWL

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 8 scored, 10 conceded.

Sat 31 Oct Angers crestv Angers 2-0 Won
Mon 26 Oct Paris Saint-germain crestat Paris Saint-germain 0-2 Lost
Thu 22 Oct TSG Hoffenheim crestat TSG Hoffenheim 0-3 Lost
Sun 18 Oct Nice crestv Nice 2-1 Won
Thu 15 Oct Crystal Palace crestv Crystal Palace 3-2 Won
Fri 9 Oct Lens crestat Lens 1-2 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Real Sociedad v Lyon: the numbers

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Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadLyon crestLyon 14League position12 1-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost2-0-1 8-3Goals for and against5-6 4Points6 0-0-1Home record v away record1-0-1 2.70Scored a game1.70 1.00Conceded a game2.00 1.43xG for a game1.60 33%Clean sheets24% 24%Failed to score33% 71%Both teams scored62% 33%Over 2.5 goals33%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Real Sociedad v Lyon: head to head

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Real Sociedad won 2 0 draws Lyon won 0

Only 2 meetings on our record, too few to read a pattern from.

2.0 goals a game 0/2 both scored 0/2 over 2.5
28 Aug 2013 Real Sociedad crestLyon crestReal Sociedad v Lyon 2-0
20 Aug 2013 Lyon crestReal Sociedad crestLyon v Real Sociedad 0-2

Real Sociedad vs Lyon: FAQs

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Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction: what is the call?

This fixture is in a league we are still building a graded record on, so the page shows the bookmakers' prices and the evidence rather than a call. Our graded calls cover the leagues where the record supports them.

What time does Real Sociedad vs Lyon kick off?

Real Sociedad vs Lyon kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Europa League).

What are the best odds for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

The best prices across the books we track: Real Sociedad 1.83, the draw 3.80, Lyon 4.10. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

Real Sociedad: Alvaro Odriozola: out, long-term knee injury after surgery, Aihen Munoz: out for the season, torn ACL. Lyon: Mohamed Ouedraogo: out long-term, torn ACL.

What form are Real Sociedad and Lyon in?

Real Sociedad have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (L W W W D W, newest first), scoring 18 and conceding 8. Lyon have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (W L L W W L, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 10.

What is the head to head between Real Sociedad and Lyon?

In their last 2 meetings on our record, Real Sociedad won 2, Lyon won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 28 Aug 2013, finished Real Sociedad 2-0 Lyon.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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