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Real Madrid have won three straight; Malaga have taken 0 points from their last 1. The momentum is with the hosts going into this La Liga tie.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Real Madrid average 2.0 per game and Malaga chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
Real Madrid average 2.0 goals per game and Malaga manage 2.0. Combined that's just 4.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 58% of Real Madrid's home games and 83% of Malaga's away matches.
Real Madrid are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Malaga, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Malaga have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Real Madrid have won 8, Malaga 0, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Malaga 1-2 Real Madrid, Real Madrid 3-2 Malaga, Malaga 0-2 Real Madrid, Real Madrid 2-1 Malaga.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%) and 2-1 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Real Madrid Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Malaga Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Real Madrid vs Malaga kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 in the La Liga.