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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Celta Vigo have won three of their last five; Athletic Club have lost three of their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this La Liga tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Celta Vigo create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Athletic Club create 1.0 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of -0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Celta Vigo average 1.3 goals per game and Athletic Club manage 1.1. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams score in 63% of Celta Vigo's home games and 53% of Athletic Club's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (11%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Celta Vigo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Athletic Club Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:30 in the La Liga.