Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:45 Ligue 11177 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Paris Saint Germain 65%
Draw 21%
Lyon 15%
The read
The deskParis Saint Germain arrive on a five-game winning run, losing just once at home in their last five, while Lyon travel without top scorer Openda, sidelined with a fibula fracture. Lyon top the table largely on home form, so this reads like a game PSG should control without needing to be perfect.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeParis Saint GermainMayulu: out as of early October · Hakimi: managed through a minor thigh issue · Zaire-Emery: managed through a minor thigh issue
LyonOpenda: out, fibula fracture, back mid-November · Ouedraogo: out long-term after surgery · Tagliafico: doubt, recovering from an injury picked up on international duty
Checked Thu 22 Oct, 19:06.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProLyon's top scorer Openda is out with a fibula fracture until mid-November (roundtable.io, lyonmag.com), and PSG have lost just 1 of their last 5 at home, cutting into Lyon's clearest route to a goal.
Lyon have won only 2 of their last 5 away and travel without top scorer Openda (fibula fracture, out until mid-November) and Ouedraogo (out long-term after surgery), while PSG have won 5 straight.
“PSG's five-game run meets a Lyon side missing top scorer Openda to injury.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain win | 65% | 1.45 | 69% |
| Draw | 21% | 4.80 | 21% |
| Lyon win | 15% | 6.50 | 15% |
| Paris Saint Germain or draw | 1.13 | 88% | |
| Lyon or draw | 40% | 2.80 | 36% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.18 | 85% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.40 | 71% |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 1.53 | 65% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
20 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeParis Saint Germain
WWWWWW
Last 6, newest first: 6 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost. 17 scored, 7 conceded.
v Barcelona
4-2
Won
at Strasbourg
3-1
Won
at Manchester City
4-2
Won
v Le Mans
3-1
Won
at Marseille
2-1
Won
at Brest
1-0
Won
Lyon
LWWLWW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 12 scored, 9 conceded.
at TSG Hoffenheim
0-3
Lost
v Nice
2-1
Won
v Crystal Palace
3-2
Won
at Lens
1-2
Lost
v Stade Rennais
4-0
Won
at Anderlecht
2-1
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Paris Saint Germain v Lyon: the numbers
Always freeParis Saint GermainLyon
3League position1
4-2-1League record, won-drawn-lost4-2-1
12-7Goals for and against13-5
14Points14
3-1-0Home record v away record1-1-1
1.71Scored a game1.86
1.00Conceded a game0.71
2.62xG for a game1.65
24%Clean sheets44%
26%Failed to score18%
62%Both teams scored50%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Paris Saint Germain v Lyon: head to head
Always freeOnly 1 meeting on our record, too few to read a pattern from.
Paris FC v Olympique Lyonnais
0-0
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: FAQs
Always freeParis Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Paris Saint Germain to win at 1.45. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon kick off?
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time (Ligue 1).
What are the best odds for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
The best prices across the books we track: Paris Saint Germain 1.45, the draw 4.80, Lyon 6.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Paris Saint Germain: Mayulu: out as of early October, Hakimi: managed through a minor thigh issue, Zaire-Emery: managed through a minor thigh issue. Lyon: Openda: out, fibula fracture, back mid-November, Ouedraogo: out long-term after surgery, Tagliafico: doubt, recovering from an injury picked up on international duty.
What form are Paris Saint Germain and Lyon in?
Paris Saint Germain have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W W W W W, newest first), scoring 17 and conceding 7. Lyon have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L W W L W W, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 9.
What is the head to head between Paris Saint Germain and Lyon?
In their last meeting on our record, Paris Saint Germain won 0, Lyon won 0 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 12 Sep 2026, finished Paris FC 0-0 Olympique Lyonnais.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Thu 22 Oct
Pro single
Monaco v SC Freiburg
1.73
Over 2.5 goals (3-0) Landed
-
Wed 21 Oct
Pro single
Real Betis v Feyenoord
1.40
Over 2.5 goals (1-0) Lost
-
Wed 21 Oct
Pro single
Club Brugge KV v Lens
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (3-0) Landed
-
Tue 20 Oct
Pro single
Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona
1.53
Over 3.5 goals (4-2) Landed
-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew
1.40
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.