Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls Predictions & Odds
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Los Angeles FC have taken six points from their last six; New York Red Bulls have lost four of their last six. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
D. Bouanga has been Los Angeles FC's spearhead, with 11 goals and 4 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 1.52 shots on target per game. J. Hall has been New York Red Bulls's main threat, with 9 goals and 3 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.95 shots on target per game.
The travelling New York Red Bulls fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. recent form reads D-L-L-W-L-L. That D-L-L-W-L-L away form is genuinely impressive. Los Angeles FC have been wobbling (D-L-L-D-W-D) recent form reads D-L-L-D-W-D. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and Los Angeles FC will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Interestingly, Los Angeles FC have been poor at home recently while New York Red Bulls travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record. A concern for New York Red Bulls: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Los Angeles FC create chances worth 2.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +1.0 a game on the balance. New York Red Bulls create 1.2 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour Los Angeles FC. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. New York Red Bulls's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Los Angeles FC average 2.0 goals per game and New York Red Bulls manage 1.4. Combined that's just 3.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Los Angeles FC and New York Red Bulls together create chances worth 3.3 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Los Angeles FC are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.2 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at New York Red Bulls, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Los Angeles FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New York Red Bulls Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 03:30 in the MLS.