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A Serie A meeting between Monza (18th, 0 pts) and Sassuolo (11th, 3 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Monza will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Sassuolo's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Season-long, Sassuolo average 1.5 points per game compared to Monza's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Monza are scoring 1.5 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Sassuolo manage 1.5 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 70%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. There's a good chance both teams find the net, and we make it 68%. Monza score in 100% of their games and Sassuolo in 68%, and neither back line is tight enough to bank on a clean sheet.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 100% of Monza's home games and 58% of Sassuolo's away matches.
Monza need points desperately. Sitting 18th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
In the last 5 meetings: Monza have won 3, Sassuolo 0, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.2 goals per game. 2 of the last 5 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Monza 2-2 Sassuolo, Monza 1-0 Sassuolo, Sassuolo 0-1 Monza, Sassuolo 1-2 Monza.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%) and 1-3 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Monza Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Sassuolo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Monza vs Sassuolo kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 67.6% probability.