Udinese vs Cagliari Predictions & Odds
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
A Serie A meeting between Udinese (7th, 4 pts) and Cagliari (12th, 3 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Cagliari are no pushovers away from home. W1 D0 L0 from 1 away trips, scoring 1.0 per game on the road. Udinese (W0 D1 L0 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Interestingly, Udinese have been poor at home recently while Cagliari travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record. Season-long, Udinese average 2.0 points per game compared to Cagliari's 1.5. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Udinese create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Cagliari create 1.3 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Udinese are scoring 2.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Cagliari manage 0.5 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 41%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 49%.
Both teams score in 37% of Udinese's home games and 63% of Cagliari's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Udinese are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Cagliari, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Cagliari prefer to keep things tight (0.5 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Udinese against this setup.
In the last 10 meetings: Udinese have won 5, Cagliari 2, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Cagliari 0-2 Udinese, Udinese 1-1 Cagliari, Cagliari 1-2 Udinese, Udinese 2-0 Cagliari.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%) and 1-1 (13%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Udinese Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Cagliari Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Udinese vs Cagliari kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 48.9% probability.