Lens crestMarseille crest

Lens vs Marseille Prediction

Sunday 8 November 2026, 19:45 Ligue 1

Build this bet

1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Lens crestLens 42% Draw 23% Marseille crestMarseille 34%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Neck and neck in the Ligue 1 standings. Lens (9th, 13 pts) host Marseille (6th, 15 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.

Too close to call with any conviction. Lens edge it at 42% but a draw (23%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

The model says

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The call on this game Lens or Draw
The best price 1.36William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.36

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Lens win 42% 2.05 49%
Draw 23% 3.80 26%
Marseille win 34% 3.10 32%
Lens or draw 75% 1.36 74%
Marseille or draw 58% 1.73 58%
Either side to win, no draw 1.25 80%
Over 2.5 goals 67% 1.44 69%
Both teams to score 65% 1.44 69%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

20 markets
Marseille over 2.5 corners 1xBet 1.24
Marseille over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.20
Lens over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.20
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Lens or Marseille (double chance) William Hill 1.25
Lens under 7 corners 1xBet 1.23
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.28
Marseille under 5.5 corners Betano 1.35
Lens over 4 corners 1xBet 1.26
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Under 11.5 corners Betano 1.30
Marseille under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.36
Lens or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.36
Lens under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.38
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.44
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.44

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Away win 2.90 to 3.10 drifting, longer
Home win 2.10 to 2.00 shortening
BTTS no 2.80 to 2.70 shortening
BTTS yes 1.40 to 1.44 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Lens crestLens LWLWLW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 9 conceded.

Fri 30 Oct Lille crestat Lille 0-1 Lost
Sat 24 Oct Paris FC crestv Paris FC 2-1 Won
Wed 21 Oct Club Brugge crestat Club Brugge 0-3 Lost
Sat 17 Oct Estac Troyes crestat Estac Troyes 3-1 Won
Tue 13 Oct Sporting CP crestv Sporting CP 0-2 Lost
Fri 9 Oct Lyon crestv Lyon 2-1 Won
Marseille crestMarseille WWLWLW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 13 scored, 7 conceded.

Sun 1 Nov Toulouse crestv Toulouse 2-0 Won
Sun 25 Oct Le Havre AC crestv Le Havre AC 4-3 Won
Thu 22 Oct SK Sturm Graz crestat SK Sturm Graz 0-1 Lost
Sun 18 Oct Angers crestat Angers 5-2 Won
Thu 15 Oct v Olympiacos 0-1 Lost
Sun 11 Oct Troyes crestat Troyes 2-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Lens v Marseille: the numbers

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Lens crestLensMarseille crestMarseille 9League position6 4-1-4League record, won-drawn-lost5-0-4 16-13Goals for and against20-13 13Points15 3-0-1Home record v away record2-0-2 1.78Scored a game2.22 1.44Conceded a game1.44 1.72xG for a game1.62 35%Clean sheets26% 18%Failed to score24% 50%Both teams scored50%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Lens v Marseille: head to head

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Lens won 6 0 draws Marseille won 4
2.7 goals a game 6/10 both scored 6/10 over 2.5
24 Jan 2026 Marseille crestLens crestMarseille v Lens 3-1
25 Oct 2025 Lens crestMarseille crestLens v Marseille 2-1
8 Mar 2025 Marseille crestLens crestMarseille v Lens 0-1
23 Nov 2024 Lens crestMarseille crestLens v Marseille 1-3
28 Apr 2024 Marseille crestLens crestMarseille v Lens 2-1
12 Nov 2023 Lens crestMarseille crestLens v Marseille 1-0
6 May 2023 Lens crestMarseille crestLens v Marseille 2-1
22 Oct 2022 Marseille crestLens crestMarseille v Lens 0-1
22 Jan 2022 Lens crestMarseille crestLens v Marseille 0-2
26 Sep 2021 Marseille crestLens crestMarseille v Lens 2-3

Likely scorelines

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1-29% 2-18% 2-27% 1-35% 2-34% 3-14%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Lens vs Marseille: FAQs

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Lens vs Marseille prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Lens or Draw at 1.36. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Lens vs Marseille kick off?

Lens vs Marseille kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:45 UK time (Ligue 1).

What are the best odds for Lens vs Marseille?

The best prices across the books we track: Lens 2.05, the draw 3.80, Marseille 3.10. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Lens and Marseille in?

Lens have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L W L W L W, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Marseille have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L W L W, newest first), scoring 13 and conceding 7.

What is the head to head between Lens and Marseille?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Lens won 6, Marseille won 4 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 24 Jan 2026, finished Marseille 3-1 Lens.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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