Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille Prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 20:00 Europa League1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Bayer Leverkusen 62%
Draw 23%
Marseille 15%
The read
The deskLeverkusen have won four of their last five games at home and face a Marseille side that has lost three of its last five away, without first-choice centre-back Derek Cornelius for the long term. The home read is clear, but the board's shortest prices leave little room for anyone backing it as a bet.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeBayer LeverkusenMoussa Diaby: thigh injury, out · Loic Badé: concussion and laceration, out · Eliesse Ben Seghir: hamstring/muscle injury, out · Christian Kofane: thigh injury, out · Martin Terrier: hamstring/muscle injury, out · Kennet Eichhorn: illness, doubt
MarseilleDerek Cornelius: hip injury, out, not expected back before 2027 · Pierre-Emile Højbjerg: fitness concern
Checked Mon 2 Nov, 02:55.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProMarseille's away scoring line is squeezed hard in the specials book, and they've lost 3 of their last 5 away; Leverkusen scoring is close to certain, but Marseille getting on the board too is the shaky half of this bet.
Marseille have lost 3 of their last 5 away games and have never won or drawn the one head-to-head meeting on file; they also travel without centre-back Derek Cornelius, out with a hip injury and not expected back until 2027, while Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 5 at home.
“Home form, head-to-head and Marseille's road record all point the same way: Leverkusen.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen win | 1.40 | 71% | |
| Draw | 4.80 | 21% | |
| Marseille win | 7.00 | 14% | |
| Bayer Leverkusen or draw | 1.12 | 89% | |
| Marseille or draw | 2.80 | 36% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.18 | 85% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 69% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 | 60% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
18 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBayer Leverkusen
LLWWWW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 14 scored, 11 conceded.
v VfB Stuttgart
2-4
Lost
at TSG Hoffenheim
0-3
Lost
at Ofi Crete
2-0
Won
v SC Freiburg
2-1
Won
at Lech Poznan
4-0
Won
at Mainz
4-3
Won
Marseille
WWLWLW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 13 scored, 7 conceded.
v Toulouse
2-0
Won
v Le Havre AC
4-3
Won
at SK Sturm Graz
0-1
Lost
at Angers
5-2
Won
at Troyes
2-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille: the numbers
Always freeBayer LeverkusenMarseille
2League position34
3-0-0League record, won-drawn-lost0-0-3
8-0Goals for and against1-6
9Points0
1-0-0Home record v away record0-0-2
2.70Scored a game0.30
1.50Conceded a game2.00
2.03xG for a game1.62
100%Clean sheets24%
6%Failed to score67%
63%Both teams scored41%
33%Over 2.5 goals0%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille: head to head
Always freeOnly 1 meeting on our record, too few to read a pattern from.
Marseille v Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: FAQs
Always freeBayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Bayer Leverkusen to win at 1.40. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kick off?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Europa League).
What are the best odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
The best prices across the books we track: Bayer Leverkusen 1.40, the draw 4.80, Marseille 7.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Bayer Leverkusen: Moussa Diaby: thigh injury, out, Loic Badé: concussion and laceration, out, Eliesse Ben Seghir: hamstring/muscle injury, out, Christian Kofane: thigh injury, out, Martin Terrier: hamstring/muscle injury, out, Kennet Eichhorn: illness, doubt. Marseille: Derek Cornelius: hip injury, out, not expected back before 2027, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg: fitness concern.
What form are Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille in?
Bayer Leverkusen have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L L W W W W, newest first), scoring 14 and conceding 11. Marseille have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L W L W, newest first), scoring 13 and conceding 7.
What is the head to head between Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille?
In their last meeting on our record, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, Marseille won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 2 Aug 2023, finished Marseille 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.