Bayer Leverkusen crestMarseille crest

Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille bet builder

Thursday 5 November 2026, 20:00 · Europa League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Bayer Leverkusen to win

    56% the model

    Our board prices this at 56%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 50%.)

    1.77 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 49% chance all land
2.03

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille, 49% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 73% 1.30 +
  • Bayer Leverkusen (first half) First Half 55% 1.84 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.73 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 54%
    Corners: Bayer Leverkusen avg 7.1 for/3.7 against, Marseille avg 4.2 for/2.9 against so expected 9.0 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: Bayer Leverkusen avg 7.1 for/3.7 against, Marseille avg 4.2 for/2.9 against so expected 9.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 53%
    Cards: Bayer Leverkusen avg 2.3/game, Marseille avg 1.5/game so expected 3.8 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%
    Cards: Bayer Leverkusen avg 2.3/game, Marseille avg 1.5/game so expected 3.8 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 67%
    Fouls: Bayer Leverkusen avg 14.8/game, Marseille avg 12.2/game so expected 27.0 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Bayer Leverkusen avg 14.8/game, Marseille avg 12.2/game so expected 27.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Bayer Leverkusen avg 20.2/game, Marseille avg 11.6/game so expected 31.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Bayer Leverkusen avg 20.2/game, Marseille avg 11.6/game so expected 31.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Bayer Leverkusen over 3.5 corners 84% market Betano
    1.19 +
  • Bayer Leverkusen under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.25 +
  • Bayer Leverkusen under 7.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.25 +
  • Marseille under 1.5 goals 78% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Bayer Leverkusen under 3 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 75% market Betano
    1.33 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.