Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 12:30 Premier League1126 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Aston Villa 15%
Draw 25%
Manchester City 60%
The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
The read
Always freeAston Villa (16th, 5 pts) face the unenviable task of hosting in-form Manchester City (1st, 18 pts). The gap in quality should tell, but home advantage can be a great leveller.
We lean towards Manchester City. The edge is there but not overwhelming, so a stake-back-on-a-draw option is worth a thought for an acca.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
3 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa win | 15% | 4.75 | 21% |
| Draw | 25% | 4.10 | 24% |
| Manchester City win | 60% | 1.70 | 59% |
| Aston Villa or draw | 48% | 2.20 | 45% |
| Manchester City or draw | 80%+ | 1.20 | 83% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.25 | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.57 | 64% |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.57 | 64% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
11 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeAston Villa
WDWWLW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 18 scored, 9 conceded.
v Fenerbahce
6-0
Won
v Brentford
2-2
Drew
at Tottenham Hotspur
3-2
Won
at Coventry City
3-1
Won
v Nottingham Forest
1-2
Lost
at Club Brugge
3-2
Won
Manchester City
LWWWWW
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 18 scored, 7 conceded.
v Paris Saint-Germain
2-4
Lost
at Liverpool
3-0
Won
v Sunderland
5-3
Won
v Norwich
5-0
Won
at Manchester United
1-0
Won
at FC Porto
2-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Aston Villa v Manchester City: the numbers
Always freeAston VillaManchester City
16League position1
1-2-3League record, won-drawn-lost6-0-0
6-11Goals for and against16-5
5Points18
0-1-2Home record v away record3-0-0
1.00Scored a game2.67
1.83Conceded a game0.83
1.14xG for a game1.96
24%Clean sheets42%
26%Failed to score11%
58%Both teams scored50%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Aston Villa v Manchester City: head to head
Always freeManchester City v Aston Villa
1-2
Aston Villa v Manchester City
1-0
Manchester City v Aston Villa
2-1
Aston Villa v Manchester City
2-1
Manchester City v Aston Villa
4-1
Aston Villa v Manchester City
1-0
Manchester City v Aston Villa
3-1
Aston Villa v Manchester City
1-1
Manchester City v Aston Villa
3-2
Aston Villa v Manchester City
1-2
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City: FAQs
Always freeAston Villa vs Manchester City prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Manchester City to win at 1.70. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Aston Villa vs Manchester City kick off?
Aston Villa vs Manchester City kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 UK time (Premier League).
What are the best odds for Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
The best prices across the books we track: Aston Villa 4.75, the draw 4.10, Manchester City 1.70. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Aston Villa and Manchester City in?
Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W D W W L W, newest first), scoring 18 and conceding 9. Manchester City have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 (L W W W W W, newest first), scoring 18 and conceding 7.
What is the head to head between Aston Villa and Manchester City?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Aston Villa won 4, Manchester City won 5 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 24 May 2026, finished Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.