Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction
Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45 Europa League1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Real Sociedad 49%
Draw 26%
Lyon 25%
The read
The deskReal Sociedad have won the last two meetings here and Lyon arrive on a three-game losing streak away with top scorer Lois Openda out hurt, so the no-draw angle looks sound. Both teams to score is the trap: Lyon's attack is light without Openda, and that market has burned this desk at this kind of price before.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeReal SociedadAlvaro Odriozola: out, long-term knee injury after surgery · Aihen Munoz: out for the season, torn ACL
LyonMohamed Ouedraogo: out long-term, torn ACL
Checked Mon 2 Nov, 02:03.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProLyon lost 3 of their last 5 and their main scoring threat Lois Openda is out with a fractured fibula; Sociedad's home form includes 2 losses in their last 5 at Anoeta, hardly a reliable scoring platform for either side.
Lyon have lost their last 3 away games and 3 of their last 5 overall; they are missing main striker Lois Openda (fibula fracture) and left-back Mohamed Ouedraogo (ACL); Real Sociedad have won both head to head meetings here.
“Lyon's away form and missing striker make Sociedad's no-draw angle safer than backing BTTS.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad win | 1.85 | 54% | |
| Draw | 3.80 | 26% | |
| Lyon win | 3.90 | 26% | |
| Real Sociedad or draw | 1.25 | 80% | |
| Lyon or draw | 1.95 | 51% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.25 | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 64% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 | 65% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
18 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeReal Sociedad
LWWWDW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 18 scored, 8 conceded.
at Athletic Club
1-2
Lost
v Levante
2-1
Won
at Lillestrom
6-0
Won
at Málaga
5-2
Won
at Union St.-gilloise
1-1
Drew
v Deportivo
3-2
Won
Lyon
WLLWWL
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 8 scored, 10 conceded.
v Angers
2-0
Won
at Paris Saint-germain
0-2
Lost
at TSG Hoffenheim
0-3
Lost
v Nice
2-1
Won
v Crystal Palace
3-2
Won
at Lens
1-2
Lost
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Real Sociedad v Lyon: the numbers
Always freeReal SociedadLyon
14League position12
1-1-1League record, won-drawn-lost2-0-1
8-3Goals for and against5-6
4Points6
0-0-1Home record v away record1-0-1
2.70Scored a game1.70
1.00Conceded a game2.00
1.43xG for a game1.60
33%Clean sheets24%
24%Failed to score33%
71%Both teams scored62%
33%Over 2.5 goals33%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Real Sociedad v Lyon: head to head
Always freeOnly 2 meetings on our record, too few to read a pattern from.
Real Sociedad v Lyon
2-0
Lyon v Real Sociedad
0-2
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: FAQs
Always freeReal Sociedad vs Lyon prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.57. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Real Sociedad vs Lyon kick off?
Real Sociedad vs Lyon kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 17:45 UK time (Europa League).
What are the best odds for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
The best prices across the books we track: Real Sociedad 1.85, the draw 3.80, Lyon 3.90. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
Real Sociedad: Alvaro Odriozola: out, long-term knee injury after surgery, Aihen Munoz: out for the season, torn ACL. Lyon: Mohamed Ouedraogo: out long-term, torn ACL.
What form are Real Sociedad and Lyon in?
Real Sociedad have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (L W W W D W, newest first), scoring 18 and conceding 8. Lyon have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 6 (W L L W W L, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 10.
What is the head to head between Real Sociedad and Lyon?
In their last 2 meetings on our record, Real Sociedad won 2, Lyon won 0 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 28 Aug 2013, finished Real Sociedad 2-0 Lyon.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Halifax Town v Yeovil Town
1.65
Over 2.5 goals (2-0) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.