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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Sunderland have taken 8 points from their last five; Hull City are unbeaten in their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sunderland create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Hull City create 1.2 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Sunderland average 1.4 goals per game and Hull City manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Hull City prefer to keep things tight (0.8 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Sunderland against this setup.
In the last 9 meetings: Sunderland have won 3, Hull City 2, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 2.6 goals per game. 3 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Sunderland 0-1 Hull City, Hull City 0-1 Sunderland, Sunderland 0-1 Hull City.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sunderland Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Hull City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sunderland vs Hull City kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.