Ipswich vs Arsenal Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Ipswich have won three straight; Arsenal are unbeaten in their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Ipswich create chances worth 1.9 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.8 a game on the balance. Arsenal create 1.7 (giving up 0.9) for a balance of +0.8. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Ipswich average 2.0 goals per game and Arsenal manage 1.5. Combined that's just 3.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Ipswich and Arsenal together create chances worth 3.6 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Ipswich are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Arsenal, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Arsenal prefer to keep things tight (0.5 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Ipswich against this setup.
In the last 2 meetings: Ipswich have won 0, Arsenal 2, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 1 of the last 2 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Ipswich 0-4 Arsenal, Arsenal 1-0 Ipswich.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 0-1 (10%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Ipswich Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Arsenal Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Limited recent meetings (2), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Ipswich vs Arsenal kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.