Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners
48% (model)
Corners: Hibernian avg 5.7 for/4.0 against, Kilmarnock avg 3.0 for/6.3 against → expected 9.5 match corners
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Over 2.5 Match Cards
50% (model)
Cards: Hibernian avg 1.0/game, Kilmarnock avg 1.7/game → expected 2.7 match cards
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls
53% (model)
Fouls: Hibernian avg 13.3/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.7/game → expected 25.0 match fouls
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Over 26.5 Match Shots
43% (model)
Shots: Hibernian avg 17.3/game, Kilmarnock avg 8.5/game → expected 25.8 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock: Match Preview & Prediction
The model makes Hibernian 57% favourites here. Kilmarnock carry the 17% upset.
A Scottish Premiership meeting between Hibernian (5th, 51 pts) and Kilmarnock (11th, 28 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
J. Mulligan has been Hibernian's spearhead, with 0 goals and 1 assists in 6 appearances, averaging 0.17 shots on target per game. Whoever leads Kilmarnock's line will have a job on against that profile.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickHibernian to win at @1.62. Model probability 57% vs implied 62%. The market is 5pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
J
J. Mulligan
Hibernian · Midfielder
0 goals · 1 assist in 6 apps
0.2 shots on target a game
Key facts
🚫
Poor Away Form
Kilmarnock have won just 3 of 19 on the road. Travelling support won't expect much
🤝
Draw Merchants
5 draws from 10 meetings. Stalemates are the pattern here
📉
Cold Run
Kilmarnock have lost their last 3. Confidence in that dressing room will be low
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 88% of Hibernian's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Hibernian come in on a W-W-L-L-W run, Kilmarnock have gone L-L-L-W-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Interestingly, Hibernian have been poor at home recently while Kilmarnock travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Hibernian are scoring 1.5 a game (1.7 of those at home) and Kilmarnock manage 1.3 (1.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 55%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 49%.
▸ Team news & context
In the last 10 meetings: Hibernian have won 5, Kilmarnock 0, with 5 draws. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Hibernian 3-0 Kilmarnock, Kilmarnock 1-3 Hibernian, Hibernian 2-2 Kilmarnock.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
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Hibernian HT
2.00
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Draw HT
2.40
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Kilmarnock HT
5.00
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Hibernian Win |
@1.62
|
57.0% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.80
|
22.5% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Kilmarnock Win |
@5.00
|
16.7% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.70
|
49.0% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.05
|
51.0% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.80
|
55.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.15
|
44.6% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.25
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.21
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.00
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.44
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Team Stats
Hibernian
Position
5
Played
38
Record
15W-12D-11L
Goals F/A
58/44
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
Points
51
Overall Form
WWLLW
Home Form
LLLL
Home Record
8W-6D-5L
Kilmarnock
Position
11
Played
38
Record
10W-10D-18L
Goals F/A
50/68
Avg Goals Scored
1.30
Points
28
Overall Form
LLLWW
Away Form
LWWL
Away Record
3W-6D-10L
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Head to Head
5 Home Wins
5 Draws
0 Away Wins
2.7
Avg Goals
6/10
BTTS
5/10
Over 2.5
2026-04-04
Hibernian 3-0 Kilmarnock
2026-01-03
Hibernian 3-1 Kilmarnock
2025-08-10
Hibernian 2-2 Kilmarnock
2025-03-15
Hibernian 1-1 Kilmarnock
2024-12-29
Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock
2024-09-01
Hibernian 1-1 Kilmarnock
2024-01-27
Hibernian 2-2 Kilmarnock
2023-11-11
Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock
2023-09-16
Hibernian 2-2 Kilmarnock
2023-02-18
Hibernian 2-0 Kilmarnock
Full Hibernian vs Kilmarnock head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
4-0
1.7%
4-2
1.3%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices
-
Over 1.5 goals
Smart
84%
@1.27
Betano
-
Hibernian under 8.5 corners
Smart
85%
@1.18
Unibet
-
Thibault Klidje 1+ shots on target
82%
@1.22
Bet365
-
Ante Suto 1+ shots on target
80%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Nathan Lowe 1+ shots on target
80%
@1.25
Bet365
Combined 2.86
· £5 returns
£14.28
Market singles 12 priced markets
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Under 2.5 second half goals
85%
@1.25
Betano
-
Hibernian or Kilmarnock (double chance)
85%
@1.25
William Hill
-
Martin Boyle 3+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Hibernian under 8.5 corners
85%
@1.18
Unibet
-
Over 1.5 goals
84%
@1.27
Betano
-
Josh Mulligan 1+ shots
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Hibernian over 1 goals
83%
@1.20
Marathon Bet
-
Thibault Klidje 1+ shots on target
82%
@1.22
Bet365
-
Hibernian over 3.5 corners
82%
@1.22
Unibet
-
Under 12.5 corners
81%
@1.23
Unibet
-
Ante Suto 1+ shots on target
80%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Over 7.5 corners
80%
@1.25
Unibet
Build a slip from these markets →