Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners
52% (model)
Corners: Motherwell avg 3.7 for/6.0 against, Aberdeen avg 4.0 for/6.0 against → expected 9.8 match corners
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Over 4.5 Match Cards
71% (model)
Cards: Motherwell avg 2.3/game, Aberdeen avg 3.7/game → expected 6.0 match cards
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls
68% (model)
Fouls: Motherwell avg 14.0/game, Aberdeen avg 13.0/game → expected 27.0 match fouls
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Over 24.5 Match Shots
45% (model)
Shots: Motherwell avg 14.0/game, Aberdeen avg 10.0/game → expected 24.0 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Key Stats
🚨
Aberdeen have failed to score in 42% of matches
01The read
Analysing Motherwell vs Aberdeen: Who Wins?
Too close to call on the numbers. Motherwell 44%, Aberdeen 44%, the draw live at 24%.
A Scottish Premiership meeting between Motherwell (4th, 54 pts) and Aberdeen (8th, 33 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
R. Charles-Cook has been Motherwell's spearhead, with 1 goals and 0 assists in 6 appearances, averaging 0.17 shots on target per game. Whoever leads Aberdeen's line will have a job on against that profile.
Key men
R
R. Charles-Cook
Motherwell · Attacker
1 goal in 6 apps
0.2 shots on target a game
Key facts
🧤
Defensive Wall
Motherwell keep clean sheets in 47% of games. One of the tightest defences around
😶
Goal Shy
Aberdeen fail to score in 42% of their games. They go missing in front of goal far too often
⚖
Class Gap
Goal difference tells the story: Motherwell at +23 vs Aberdeen at -15. A chasm in quality
📉
Cold Run
Aberdeen have lost their last 2. Confidence in that dressing room will be low
▸ Form & goals
Motherwell will be looking to make home advantage count (W10 D6 L3 at home). Aberdeen's away record reads W4 D2 L13. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Motherwell are scoring 1.6 a game (1.7 of those at home) and Aberdeen manage 1.1 (0.6 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 53%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
▸ Team news & context
Motherwell do it the hard way: only 1.6 a game up top, but a mean 0.9 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
In the last 10 meetings: Motherwell have won 4, Aberdeen 5, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.1 goals per game. 2 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Aberdeen 2-0 Motherwell, Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen, Aberdeen 1-1 Motherwell.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
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Motherwell HT
2.45
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Draw HT
2.30
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Aberdeen HT
3.80
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Motherwell Win |
@2.20
|
43.6% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.30
|
23.5% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Aberdeen Win |
@3.00
|
44.3% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.70
|
50.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.05
|
49.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.91
|
52.5% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.03
|
47.5% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.28
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.93
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.39
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Team Stats
Motherwell
Position
4
Played
38
Record
16W-13D-9L
Goals F/A
59/36
Avg Goals Scored
1.60
Points
54
Overall Form
DDWWL
Home Form
DLD
Home Record
10W-6D-3L
Aberdeen
Position
8
Played
38
Record
11W-7D-20L
Goals F/A
40/55
Avg Goals Scored
1.10
Points
33
Overall Form
LLWLL
Away Form
LLD
Away Record
4W-2D-13L
Motherwell vs Aberdeen Head to Head
4 Home Wins
1 Draws
5 Away Wins
2.1
Avg Goals
3/10
BTTS
2/10
Over 2.5
2026-02-18
Motherwell 0-2 Aberdeen
2026-02-15
Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
2025-11-09
Motherwell 1-1 Aberdeen
2025-09-27
Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
2025-09-20
Motherwell 1-0 Aberdeen
2025-03-29
Motherwell 1-4 Aberdeen
2025-01-05
Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
2024-09-14
Motherwell 1-2 Aberdeen
2024-04-27
Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
2024-03-16
Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
Full Motherwell vs Aberdeen head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices
-
Over 1.5 goals
Smart
82%
@1.30
Betano
-
Tawanda Maswanhise 1+ shots on target
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Aberdeen under 6.5 corners
Smart
83%
@1.20
Unibet
-
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 1+ shots on target
75%
@1.33
Bet365
-
Ayoub Mouloua 1+ shots on target
74%
@1.36
Bet365
Combined 3.39
· £5 returns
£16.93
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Motherwell over 0.5 goals
85%
@1.27
Betano
-
Ayoub Mouloua 2+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
84%
@1.24
Betano
-
Lukas Fadinger 1+ shots
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Tawanda Maswanhise 1+ shots on target
83%
@1.20
Bet365
-
Aberdeen under 6.5 corners
83%
@1.20
Unibet
-
Over 1.5 goals
82%
@1.30
Betano
-
Under 12.5 corners
81%
@1.23
Unibet
-
Motherwell under 7.5 corners
81%
@1.23
Unibet
-
Aberdeen over 2.5 corners
81%
@1.23
Unibet
-
Motherwell or Aberdeen (double chance)
80%
@1.33
Bet365
-
Over 7.5 corners
80%
@1.25
Unibet
Build a slip from these markets →